Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

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John Hancock Premium Dividend Fund (PDT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.85 - $34.81$29.15
Multi-Stage$48.36 - $53.13$50.70
Blended Fair Value$39.92
Current Price$12.64
Upside215.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.08%-2.86%0.991.091.131.151.161.161.631.421.081.09
YoY Growth---9.44%-2.89%-2.10%-0.91%0.26%-29.01%14.57%31.19%-0.12%-17.91%
Dividend Yield--7.72%11.42%8.05%6.73%9.25%6.54%10.42%8.39%7.25%7.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)157.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)98.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)58.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.5119.7011.82
Cash Retained (M)58.8358.8358.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.51-19.70-11.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.3239.1447.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.1949.1949.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.800.96
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.800.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.562.802.96
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate-2.76%-1.76%-0.76%
Fair Value$23.85$29.15$34.81
Upside / Downside88.71%130.59%175.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)157.57154.80152.07149.40146.77144.19148.52
Payout Ratio62.66%68.13%73.60%79.06%84.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)98.73105.46111.92118.12124.07129.77137.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate-2.76%-1.76%-0.76%
Year 1 PV (M)96.9397.9398.93
Year 2 PV (M)94.5596.5198.48
Year 3 PV (M)91.7294.5897.50
Year 4 PV (M)88.5592.2596.07
Year 5 PV (M)85.1389.6094.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,921.932,022.802,127.87
Equity Value (M)2,378.832,493.682,613.10
Shares Outstanding (M)49.1949.1949.19
Fair Value$48.36$50.70$53.13
Upside / Downside282.63%301.11%320.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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