Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Pacific Gas & Electric Co. (PCG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.80 - $20.58$16.32
Multi-Stage$34.86 - $38.48$36.63
Blended Fair Value$26.47
Current Price$15.08
Upside75.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-20.27%0.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.460.420.39
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%10.86%7.59%3.38%
Dividend Yield--0.23%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.05%0.63%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,707.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)188.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,519.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)541.40338.38203.03
Cash Retained (M)2,519.002,519.002,519.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-541.40-338.38-203.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,977.602,180.632,315.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.900.991.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate5.51%5.51%5.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.80$16.32$20.58
Upside / Downside-15.12%8.20%36.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,707.002,679.932,653.132,626.602,600.332,574.332,651.56
Payout Ratio6.94%23.56%40.17%56.78%73.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)188.00631.281,065.681,491.331,908.362,316.902,452.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.51%5.51%5.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)592.27598.32604.36
Year 2 PV (M)938.05957.29976.72
Year 3 PV (M)1,231.601,269.691,308.55
Year 4 PV (M)1,478.611,539.891,603.06
Year 5 PV (M)1,684.221,771.921,863.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)71,040.4474,739.6878,591.44
Equity Value (M)76,965.1880,876.7884,947.37
Shares Outstanding (M)2,207.752,207.752,207.75
Fair Value$34.86$36.63$38.48
Upside / Downside131.18%142.93%155.15%

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