Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Panorama Sentrawisata Tbk (PANR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,051.60 - $17,338.29$9,470.40
Multi-Stage$7,268.82 - $7,980.51$7,617.93
Blended Fair Value$8,544.16
Current Price$885.00
Upside865.44%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.003.535.25
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-32.78%-25.79%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.53%1.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)347,296.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83,250.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)264,046.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69,459.3943,412.1226,047.27
Cash Retained (M)264,046.93264,046.93264,046.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-69,459.39-43,412.12-26,047.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)194,587.54220,634.81237,999.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,387.501,387.501,387.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share140.24159.02171.53
LTM Dividend per Share60.0060.0060.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share140.24159.02171.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend200.24219.02231.53
WACC / Discount Rate6.09%6.09%6.09%
Growth Rate2.69%3.69%4.69%
Fair Value$6,051.60$9,470.40$17,338.29
Upside / Downside583.80%970.10%1,859.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)347,296.93360,122.85373,422.44387,213.20401,513.25416,341.42428,831.66
Payout Ratio23.97%37.18%50.38%63.59%76.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83,250.00133,881.70188,139.58246,222.43308,338.76374,707.28396,669.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.09%6.09%6.09%
Growth Rate2.69%3.69%4.69%
Year 1 PV (M)124,978.01126,195.01127,412.02
Year 2 PV (M)163,947.56167,156.06170,395.67
Year 3 PV (M)200,292.54206,200.90212,224.33
Year 4 PV (M)234,141.11243,395.23252,920.99
Year 5 PV (M)265,615.90278,802.74292,508.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,096,518.409,548,126.8310,017,496.33
Equity Value (M)10,085,493.5210,569,876.7811,072,957.53
Shares Outstanding (M)1,387.501,387.501,387.50
Fair Value$7,268.82$7,617.93$7,980.51
Upside / Downside721.34%760.78%801.75%

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