Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pacific Current Group Limited (PAC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.20 - $510.88$192.65
Multi-Stage$81.24 - $88.98$85.04
Blended Fair Value$138.84
Current Price$10.82
Upside1,183.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.68%6.45%0.410.410.340.390.280.340.180.030.280.27
YoY Growth--1.21%18.20%-10.86%40.15%-19.85%93.07%509.80%-89.48%2.61%22.72%
Dividend Yield--3.81%3.78%4.65%5.58%4.74%6.27%3.94%0.45%4.17%6.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)168.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)128.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)33.6521.0312.62
Cash Retained (M)128.81128.81128.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-33.65-21.03-12.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)95.16107.78116.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.1648.1648.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.982.242.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.982.242.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.793.063.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.45%5.45%6.45%
Fair Value$109.20$192.65$510.88
Upside / Downside909.28%1,680.45%4,621.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)168.24177.42187.09197.30208.06219.40225.99
Payout Ratio23.44%36.75%50.06%63.38%76.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.4365.2093.66125.04159.55197.46209.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.45%5.45%6.45%
Year 1 PV (M)60.2960.8661.44
Year 2 PV (M)80.0881.6283.17
Year 3 PV (M)98.84101.70104.63
Year 4 PV (M)116.62121.15125.81
Year 5 PV (M)133.44139.96146.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,422.783,589.783,763.25
Equity Value (M)3,912.044,095.074,285.01
Shares Outstanding (M)48.1648.1648.16
Fair Value$81.24$85.04$88.98
Upside / Downside650.81%685.93%722.39%

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