DDM Analysis: OSP-R.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.48 - $12.30	$10.33
Multi-Stage	$19.13 - $21.05	$20.07
Blended Fair Value	$15.20
Current Price	$17.20
Upside	-11.63%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-6.33%	6.51%	0.75	1.65	1.10	1.10	1.10	1.04	0.91	1.37	2.13	1.29
YoY Growth	-	-	-54.55%	50.02%	0.00%	-0.01%	5.76%	13.91%	-33.28%	-35.78%	65.52%	222.50%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.55%	7.92%	3.57%	2.93%	3.12%	2.91%	3.38%	5.02%	7.81%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,541.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,102.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,439.01

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	708.30	442.69	265.61
Cash Retained (M)	1,439.01	1,439.01	1,439.01
(-) Cash Required (M)	-708.30	-442.69	-265.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	730.71	996.32	1,173.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,007.21	3,007.21	3,007.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.24	0.33	0.39
LTM Dividend per Share	0.70	0.70	0.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.24	0.33	0.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.94	1.03	1.09
WACC / Discount Rate	7.19%	7.19%	7.19%
Growth Rate	-3.53%	-2.53%	-1.53%
Fair Value	$8.48	$10.33	$12.30
Upside / Downside	-50.72%	-39.94%	-28.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,541.52	3,451.79	3,364.33	3,279.09	3,196.01	3,115.03	3,208.48
Payout Ratio	59.37%	65.49%	71.62%	77.75%	83.87%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,102.51	2,260.71	2,409.55	2,549.39	2,680.60	2,803.53	2,967.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.19%	7.19%	7.19%
Growth Rate	-3.53%	-2.53%	-1.53%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,087.45	2,109.09	2,130.72
Year 2 PV (M)	2,054.36	2,097.17	2,140.43
Year 3 PV (M)	2,007.00	2,070.07	2,134.44
Year 4 PV (M)	1,948.56	2,030.62	2,115.25
Year 5 PV (M)	1,881.73	1,981.30	2,085.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)	47,551.59	50,067.89	52,689.61
Equity Value (M)	57,530.68	60,356.14	63,295.50
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,007.21	3,007.21	3,007.21
Fair Value	$19.13	$20.07	$21.05
Upside / Downside	11.23%	16.69%	22.37%

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Osotspa Public Company Limited (OSP-R.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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