Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$171.39 - $703.33$294.10
Multi-Stage$280.24 - $307.87$293.79
Blended Fair Value$293.95
Current Price$56.46
Upside420.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.54%-1.30%4.683.464.0110.646.733.410.000.000.150.64
YoY Growth--35.27%-13.75%-62.32%58.06%97.55%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-76.62%-87.93%
Dividend Yield--9.57%6.88%10.81%22.45%12.53%17.82%0.00%0.00%0.61%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)705.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)501.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)204.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)141.0088.1352.88
Cash Retained (M)204.00204.00204.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-141.00-88.13-52.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.00115.88151.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)119.72119.72119.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.971.26
LTM Dividend per Share4.184.184.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.971.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.715.155.45
WACC / Discount Rate4.90%4.90%4.90%
Growth Rate2.09%3.09%4.09%
Fair Value$171.39$294.10$703.33
Upside / Downside203.56%420.90%1,145.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)705.00726.81749.29772.47796.37821.00845.63
Payout Ratio71.06%74.85%78.64%82.43%86.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)501.00544.02589.23636.71686.57738.90782.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.90%4.90%4.90%
Growth Rate2.09%3.09%4.09%
Year 1 PV (M)513.58518.61523.64
Year 2 PV (M)525.14535.47545.91
Year 3 PV (M)535.70551.60567.81
Year 4 PV (M)545.33567.01589.33
Year 5 PV (M)554.05581.72610.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,876.7132,418.8134,021.91
Equity Value (M)33,550.5135,173.2236,859.09
Shares Outstanding (M)119.72119.72119.72
Fair Value$280.24$293.79$307.87
Upside / Downside396.34%420.35%445.29%

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