Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Origin Enterprises plc (OIZ.IR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.06 - $19.48$14.64
Multi-Stage$14.57 - $15.97$15.26
Blended Fair Value$14.95
Current Price$3.72
Upside301.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-7.81%-3.34%0.160.160.160.120.030.240.230.230.230.27
YoY Growth---3.82%3.06%33.76%239.96%-85.23%1.55%0.00%0.00%-13.04%21.15%
Dividend Yield--4.23%5.23%4.96%3.03%1.01%8.75%4.50%3.77%3.65%4.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)56.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.6411.656.99
Cash Retained (M)56.8156.8156.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.64-11.65-6.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)38.1745.1649.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)113.33113.33113.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.340.400.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.340.400.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Fair Value$11.06$14.64$19.48
Upside / Downside197.40%293.51%423.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.1895.7598.40101.11103.90106.77109.98
Payout Ratio39.03%49.23%59.42%69.61%79.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.3747.1458.4770.3982.9296.09101.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.81%7.81%7.81%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Year 1 PV (M)43.3043.7244.15
Year 2 PV (M)49.3350.3051.29
Year 3 PV (M)54.5556.1757.83
Year 4 PV (M)59.0261.3863.80
Year 5 PV (M)62.8365.9869.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,382.481,451.761,523.79
Equity Value (M)1,651.511,729.311,810.10
Shares Outstanding (M)113.33113.33113.33
Fair Value$14.57$15.26$15.97
Upside / Downside291.75%310.20%329.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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