Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$207.52 - $488.17$457.44
Multi-Stage$102.79 - $112.62$107.62
Blended Fair Value$282.53
Current Price$44.93
Upside528.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.43%3.82%1.801.661.551.381.371.321.271.331.271.21
YoY Growth--8.19%7.28%12.25%0.90%3.90%3.95%-4.90%4.75%4.60%-1.70%
Dividend Yield--4.21%4.47%3.25%2.67%2.53%2.13%1.94%2.32%2.15%2.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)100.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.1112.577.54
Cash Retained (M)23.8723.8723.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.11-12.57-7.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.7711.3116.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.5540.5540.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.280.40
LTM Dividend per Share1.891.891.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.280.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.982.172.29
WACC / Discount Rate5.43%5.43%5.43%
Growth Rate4.43%5.43%6.43%
Fair Value$207.52$457.44$488.17
Upside / Downside361.88%918.12%986.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)100.53105.99111.75117.82124.22130.97134.90
Payout Ratio76.25%79.00%81.75%84.50%87.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.6683.7491.3699.56108.39117.88124.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.43%5.43%5.43%
Growth Rate4.43%5.43%6.43%
Year 1 PV (M)78.6779.4280.18
Year 2 PV (M)80.6482.1983.75
Year 3 PV (M)82.5684.9587.39
Year 4 PV (M)84.4487.7291.09
Year 5 PV (M)86.2790.4894.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,755.553,938.834,129.20
Equity Value (M)4,168.124,363.594,566.47
Shares Outstanding (M)40.5540.5540.55
Fair Value$102.79$107.62$112.62
Upside / Downside128.79%139.52%150.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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