Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

NEPI Rockcastle S.A. (NRP.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.82 - $321.23$121.23
Multi-Stage$34.21 - $37.41$35.79
Blended Fair Value$78.51
Current Price$6.58
Upside1,093.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.36%41.42%0.410.100.360.310.220.240.440.060.070.08
YoY Growth--308.67%-71.90%14.75%39.53%-6.83%-45.43%659.38%-19.19%-4.36%483.22%
Dividend Yield--5.51%1.64%5.58%5.27%4.41%3.13%7.10%0.43%0.63%0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,082.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)335.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)747.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)216.53135.3381.20
Cash Retained (M)747.43747.43747.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-216.53-135.33-81.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)530.90612.10666.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)670.27670.27670.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.910.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.910.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.82$121.23$321.23
Upside / Downside824.26%1,742.40%4,781.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,082.641,153.011,227.961,307.771,392.781,483.311,527.81
Payout Ratio30.96%42.77%54.58%66.38%78.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)335.21493.14670.19868.161,089.051,334.981,413.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.74%7.74%7.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)453.41457.71462.00
Year 2 PV (M)566.55577.34588.23
Year 3 PV (M)674.78694.15713.89
Year 4 PV (M)778.26808.19838.98
Year 5 PV (M)877.15919.51963.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,583.2120,529.0921,511.16
Equity Value (M)22,933.3523,985.9825,077.76
Shares Outstanding (M)670.27670.27670.27
Fair Value$34.21$35.79$37.41
Upside / Downside419.98%443.85%468.61%

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