DDM Analysis: NKE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$32.58 - $64.88	$45.20
Multi-Stage	$41.78 - $45.71	$43.71
Blended Fair Value	$44.46
Current Price	$77.37
Upside	-42.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	9.64%	9.85%	1.55	1.46	1.36	1.24	1.10	0.98	0.90	0.84	0.76	0.69
YoY Growth	-	-	6.04%	7.80%	9.53%	12.15%	12.81%	9.01%	7.16%	9.71%	10.86%	13.68%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.00%	1.75%	1.33%	1.16%	0.67%	0.87%	1.06%	1.02%	1.45%	1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,895.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,333.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	562.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	579.00	361.88	217.13
Cash Retained (M)	562.00	562.00	562.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-579.00	-361.88	-217.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-17.00	200.13	344.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,484.43	1,484.43	1,484.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.13	0.23
LTM Dividend per Share	1.57	1.57	1.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.13	0.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.56	1.71	1.80
WACC / Discount Rate	7.27%	7.27%	7.27%
Growth Rate	2.36%	3.36%	4.36%
Fair Value	$32.58	$45.20	$64.88
Upside / Downside	-57.89%	-41.57%	-16.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,895.00	2,992.40	3,093.07	3,197.13	3,304.69	3,415.86	3,518.34
Payout Ratio	80.59%	82.47%	84.35%	86.23%	88.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,333.00	2,467.82	2,609.07	2,757.04	2,912.00	3,074.28	3,254.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.27%	7.27%	7.27%
Growth Rate	2.36%	3.36%	4.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,278.39	2,300.65	2,322.91
Year 2 PV (M)	2,223.91	2,267.57	2,311.66
Year 3 PV (M)	2,169.64	2,233.85	2,299.31
Year 4 PV (M)	2,115.69	2,199.58	2,285.94
Year 5 PV (M)	2,062.14	2,164.85	2,271.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)	51,169.21	53,717.89	56,367.13
Equity Value (M)	62,018.97	64,884.39	67,858.57
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,484.43	1,484.43	1,484.43
Fair Value	$41.78	$43.71	$45.71
Upside / Downside	-46.00%	-43.51%	-40.92%

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NIKE, Inc. (NKE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener