DDM Analysis: NISP.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,465.00 - $6,759.55	$4,770.74
Multi-Stage	$3,794.10 - $4,150.78	$3,969.14
Blended Fair Value	$4,369.94
Current Price	$1,355.00
Upside	222.50%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	72.00	58.00	22.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	24.14%	163.62%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.35%	4.31%	2.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,873,131.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,432,201.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,440,930.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	974,626.20	609,141.38	365,484.83
Cash Retained (M)	2,440,930.00	2,440,930.00	2,440,930.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-974,626.20	-609,141.38	-365,484.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,466,303.80	1,831,788.63	2,075,445.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	22,945.30	22,945.30	22,945.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	63.90	79.83	90.45
LTM Dividend per Share	106.00	106.00	106.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	63.90	79.83	90.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	169.90	185.83	196.45
WACC / Discount Rate	8.11%	8.11%	8.11%
Growth Rate	3.05%	4.05%	5.05%
Fair Value	$3,465.00	$4,770.74	$6,759.55
Upside / Downside	155.72%	252.08%	398.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,873,131.00	5,070,639.36	5,276,152.75	5,489,995.61	5,712,505.54	5,944,033.82	6,122,354.83
Payout Ratio	49.91%	57.93%	65.95%	73.96%	81.98%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,432,201.00	2,937,337.71	3,479,425.54	4,060,629.96	4,683,231.29	5,349,630.44	5,663,178.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.11%	8.11%	8.11%
Growth Rate	3.05%	4.05%	5.05%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,690,974.11	2,717,086.64	2,743,199.16
Year 2 PV (M)	2,920,241.87	2,977,191.41	3,034,690.90
Year 3 PV (M)	3,122,197.20	3,213,973.04	3,307,529.96
Year 4 PV (M)	3,298,892.47	3,428,814.78	3,562,537.44
Year 5 PV (M)	3,452,247.88	3,623,028.96	3,800,502.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	71,572,300.15	75,112,948.06	78,792,353.19
Equity Value (M)	87,056,853.68	91,073,042.88	95,240,813.56
Shares Outstanding (M)	22,945.30	22,945.30	22,945.30
Fair Value	$3,794.10	$3,969.14	$4,150.78
Upside / Downside	180.01%	192.93%	206.33%

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Financial Statements

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PT Bank OCBC NISP Tbk (NISP.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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