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Definitive Analysis

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NewtekOne, Inc. Depositary Shares, Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock, Series B (NEWTP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$79.28 - $448.71$150.05
Multi-Stage$75.71 - $83.03$79.30
Blended Fair Value$114.67
Current Price$11.45
Upside901.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-59.56%0.00%0.020.552.502.721.651.581.261.091.060.59
YoY Growth---96.88%-78.08%-7.98%64.72%4.45%25.70%15.02%3.29%80.66%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.14%4.80%19.56%10.19%6.19%11.97%6.38%6.05%6.24%4.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.867.414.45
Cash Retained (M)33.1233.1233.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.86-7.41-4.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.2725.7128.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.7825.7825.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.821.001.11
LTM Dividend per Share1.011.011.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.821.001.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.842.012.13
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Fair Value$79.28$150.05$448.71
Upside / Downside592.42%1,210.45%3,818.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.3061.9564.7167.6170.6373.7876.00
Payout Ratio44.14%53.31%62.48%71.65%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.1733.0240.4348.4457.0966.4170.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.87%5.87%5.87%
Growth Rate3.47%4.47%5.47%
Year 1 PV (M)30.8931.1931.49
Year 2 PV (M)35.3936.0736.77
Year 3 PV (M)39.6640.8242.01
Year 4 PV (M)43.7245.4447.20
Year 5 PV (M)47.5849.9352.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,754.851,841.301,931.13
Equity Value (M)1,952.092,044.762,140.96
Shares Outstanding (M)25.7825.7825.78
Fair Value$75.71$79.30$83.03
Upside / Downside561.21%592.60%625.19%

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