Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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NewMarket Corporation (NEU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,112.75 - $3,053.36$1,719.26
Multi-Stage$1,252.24 - $1,374.25$1,312.10
Blended Fair Value$1,515.68
Current Price$828.21
Upside83.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.26%4.91%10.148.998.919.088.828.648.518.768.027.48
YoY Growth--12.78%0.91%-1.92%2.99%2.13%1.53%-2.94%9.31%7.16%19.13%
Dividend Yield--1.79%1.42%2.44%2.80%2.32%2.26%1.98%2.18%1.77%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)448.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)101.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)346.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)89.6456.0333.62
Cash Retained (M)346.52346.52346.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-89.64-56.03-33.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)256.88290.49312.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.469.469.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share27.1630.7233.08
LTM Dividend per Share10.7510.7510.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share27.1630.7233.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend37.9141.4743.84
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Fair Value$1,112.75$1,719.26$3,053.36
Upside / Downside34.36%107.59%268.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)448.20465.71483.91502.81522.46542.87559.16
Payout Ratio22.69%36.15%49.61%63.07%76.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)101.68168.35240.08317.15399.87488.58517.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.41%6.41%6.41%
Growth Rate2.91%3.91%4.91%
Year 1 PV (M)156.68158.21159.73
Year 2 PV (M)207.95212.01216.11
Year 3 PV (M)255.67263.19270.87
Year 4 PV (M)300.02311.85324.03
Year 5 PV (M)341.16358.07375.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,581.8511,106.0811,650.89
Equity Value (M)11,843.3312,409.4112,997.26
Shares Outstanding (M)9.469.469.46
Fair Value$1,252.24$1,312.10$1,374.25
Upside / Downside51.20%58.43%65.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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