DDM Analysis: MTDL.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,426.33 - $3,737.10	$2,172.69
Multi-Stage	$996.79 - $1,088.11	$1,041.62
Blended Fair Value	$1,607.16
Current Price	$600.00
Upside	167.86%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	33.24%	24.82%	21.00	14.50	10.50	7.40	6.60	5.00	2.00	1.06	1.03	0.91
YoY Growth	-	-	44.83%	38.10%	41.89%	12.12%	32.00%	150.00%	87.88%	2.86%	13.14%	-60.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.85%	2.40%	1.81%	1.09%	2.04%	2.21%	0.95%	0.67%	0.84%	0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	754,005.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	294,645.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	459,360.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	150,801.00	94,250.63	56,550.38
Cash Retained (M)	459,360.00	459,360.00	459,360.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-150,801.00	-94,250.63	-56,550.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)	308,559.00	365,109.38	402,809.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	12,276.89	12,276.89	12,276.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share	25.13	29.74	32.81
LTM Dividend per Share	24.00	24.00	24.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share	25.13	29.74	32.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend	49.13	53.74	56.81
WACC / Discount Rate	9.13%	9.13%	9.13%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,426.33	$2,172.69	$3,737.10
Upside / Downside	137.72%	262.11%	522.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	754,005.00	803,015.33	855,211.32	910,800.06	970,002.06	1,033,052.19	1,064,043.76
Payout Ratio	39.08%	49.26%	59.45%	69.63%	79.82%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	294,645.00	395,580.30	508,392.31	634,198.56	774,211.66	929,746.98	984,240.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.13%	9.13%	9.13%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	359,067.99	362,471.48	365,874.97
Year 2 PV (M)	418,873.66	426,852.02	434,905.66
Year 3 PV (M)	474,298.07	487,913.47	501,786.97
Year 4 PV (M)	525,566.72	545,778.53	566,567.78
Year 5 PV (M)	572,894.91	600,565.94	629,296.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	9,886,770.36	10,364,305.07	10,860,116.15
Equity Value (M)	12,237,471.71	12,787,886.51	13,358,547.54
Shares Outstanding (M)	12,276.89	12,276.89	12,276.89
Fair Value	$996.79	$1,041.62	$1,088.11
Upside / Downside	66.13%	73.60%	81.35%

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Financial Statements

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PT Metrodata Electronics Tbk (MTDL.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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