Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mastersystem Infotama Tbk. (MSTI.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,108.06 - $1,571.06$1,336.48
Multi-Stage$1,797.87 - $1,966.30$1,880.49
Blended Fair Value$1,608.48
Current Price$1,565.00
Upside2.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%99.83111.4952.56127.4227.550.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---10.46%112.12%-58.75%362.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.11%7.88%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)528,628.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)370,451.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)158,177.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)105,725.7566,078.5939,647.15
Cash Retained (M)158,177.62158,177.62158,177.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-105,725.75-66,078.59-39,647.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,451.8792,099.03118,530.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,139.273,139.273,139.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.7129.3437.76
LTM Dividend per Share118.01118.01118.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.7129.3437.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend134.71147.34155.76
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1,108.06$1,336.48$1,571.06
Upside / Downside-29.20%-14.60%0.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)528,628.73523,342.44518,109.02512,927.93507,798.65502,720.66517,802.28
Payout Ratio70.08%74.06%78.05%82.03%86.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)370,451.11387,598.92404,366.73420,760.42436,785.80452,448.60478,967.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)349,074.71352,636.70356,198.69
Year 2 PV (M)327,979.78334,707.40341,503.32
Year 3 PV (M)307,356.48316,861.69326,560.87
Year 4 PV (M)287,350.42299,259.75311,535.49
Year 5 PV (M)268,070.11282,029.15296,563.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,104,148.704,317,861.244,540,385.30
Equity Value (M)5,643,980.215,903,355.936,172,747.39
Shares Outstanding (M)3,139.273,139.273,139.27
Fair Value$1,797.87$1,880.49$1,966.30
Upside / Downside14.88%20.16%25.64%

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