Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MPC Container Ships ASA (MPCC.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.28 - $6.25$5.23
Multi-Stage$7.62 - $8.35$7.98
Blended Fair Value$6.60
Current Price$1.65
Upside300.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.460.660.990.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---30.28%-33.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--30.50%57.95%62.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)252.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)142.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)110.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.6031.6218.97
Cash Retained (M)110.88110.88110.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.60-31.62-18.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)60.2979.2691.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)443.70443.70443.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.28$5.23$6.25
Upside / Downside159.49%217.08%278.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)252.99250.46247.95245.47243.02240.59247.81
Payout Ratio56.17%62.94%69.70%76.47%83.23%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)142.10157.63172.83187.71202.27216.53229.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)143.89145.36146.83
Year 2 PV (M)144.02146.97149.95
Year 3 PV (M)142.78147.20151.71
Year 4 PV (M)140.45146.28152.28
Year 5 PV (M)137.25144.40151.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,670.512,809.572,954.36
Equity Value (M)3,378.903,539.773,706.96
Shares Outstanding (M)443.70443.70443.70
Fair Value$7.62$7.98$8.35
Upside / Downside361.53%383.51%406.34%

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