DDM Analysis: MFC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$26.59 - $39.16	$32.62
Multi-Stage	$49.02 - $53.81	$51.37
Blended Fair Value	$42.00
Current Price	$43.36
Upside	-3.15%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	17.71%	13.25%	1.82	1.72	1.61	1.44	1.35	0.81	1.03	1.03	0.92	0.82
YoY Growth	-	-	6.29%	6.64%	11.48%	6.84%	67.38%	-21.81%	0.45%	11.74%	11.63%	56.81%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.07%	5.16%	6.49%	5.41%	5.00%	4.58%	4.44%	4.34%	3.89%	4.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,905.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,261.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,644.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,181.00	738.13	442.88
Cash Retained (M)	2,644.00	2,644.00	2,644.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,181.00	-738.13	-442.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,463.00	1,905.88	2,201.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,731.25	1,731.25	1,731.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.85	1.10	1.27
LTM Dividend per Share	1.88	1.88	1.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.85	1.10	1.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.73	2.98	3.16
WACC / Discount Rate	8.06%	8.06%	8.06%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$26.59	$32.62	$39.16
Upside / Downside	-38.68%	-24.77%	-9.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,905.00	5,845.95	5,787.49	5,729.62	5,672.32	5,615.60	5,784.06
Payout Ratio	55.22%	62.18%	69.13%	76.09%	83.04%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,261.00	3,634.98	4,001.16	4,359.65	4,710.57	5,054.04	5,350.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.06%	8.06%	8.06%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,329.95	3,363.93	3,397.91
Year 2 PV (M)	3,357.81	3,426.69	3,496.26
Year 3 PV (M)	3,351.64	3,455.29	3,561.06
Year 4 PV (M)	3,317.53	3,455.02	3,596.75
Year 5 PV (M)	3,260.73	3,430.52	3,607.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)	68,249.60	71,803.52	75,503.96
Equity Value (M)	84,867.26	88,934.97	93,163.26
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,731.25	1,731.25	1,731.25
Fair Value	$49.02	$51.37	$53.81
Upside / Downside	13.06%	18.47%	24.11%

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Financial Statements

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Manulife Financial Corporation (MFC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener