Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Muramoto Electron (Thailand) Public Company Limited (METCO.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$374.32 - $538.59$454.49
Multi-Stage$541.87 - $595.02$567.93
Blended Fair Value$511.21
Current Price$221.00
Upside131.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.36%-1.17%8.0010.0018.0014.0010.0010.0013.008.0014.0018.00
YoY Growth---20.00%-44.44%28.57%40.00%0.00%-23.08%62.50%-42.86%-22.22%100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.62%5.76%7.44%4.95%3.76%5.00%7.47%3.96%6.03%7.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,099.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)167.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)932.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)219.99137.4982.50
Cash Retained (M)932.75932.75932.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-219.99-137.49-82.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)712.76795.26850.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share34.1138.0540.68
LTM Dividend per Share8.008.008.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share34.1138.0540.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend42.1146.0548.68
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Fair Value$374.32$454.49$538.59
Upside / Downside69.37%105.65%143.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,099.941,096.751,093.581,090.411,087.261,084.111,116.63
Payout Ratio15.20%30.16%45.12%60.08%75.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)167.19330.78493.42655.12815.88975.701,032.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Year 1 PV (M)298.19301.22304.24
Year 2 PV (M)401.00409.17417.42
Year 3 PV (M)479.97494.70509.74
Year 4 PV (M)538.87561.04583.89
Year 5 PV (M)580.95610.98642.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,025.499,492.029,977.64
Equity Value (M)11,324.4711,869.1212,435.15
Shares Outstanding (M)20.9020.9020.90
Fair Value$541.87$567.93$595.02
Upside / Downside145.19%156.98%169.24%

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