Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Moura Dubeux Engenharia S.A. (MDNE3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.65 - $188.87$121.38
Multi-Stage$71.87 - $78.61$75.18
Blended Fair Value$98.28
Current Price$29.93
Upside228.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.650.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)353.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)104.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)248.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.7344.2026.52
Cash Retained (M)248.95248.95248.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.73-44.20-26.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)178.22204.75222.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)84.3384.3384.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.112.432.64
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.112.432.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.353.673.88
WACC / Discount Rate8.49%8.49%8.49%
Growth Rate4.31%5.31%6.31%
Fair Value$83.65$121.38$188.87
Upside / Downside179.48%305.56%531.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)353.63372.40392.17412.99434.91458.00471.74
Payout Ratio29.60%41.68%53.76%65.84%77.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)104.68155.22210.83271.91338.88412.20436.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.49%8.49%8.49%
Growth Rate4.31%5.31%6.31%
Year 1 PV (M)141.71143.07144.43
Year 2 PV (M)175.73179.12182.54
Year 3 PV (M)206.92212.93219.05
Year 4 PV (M)235.44244.60254.03
Year 5 PV (M)261.46274.23287.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,039.785,286.045,541.83
Equity Value (M)6,061.056,340.006,629.38
Shares Outstanding (M)84.3384.3384.33
Fair Value$71.87$75.18$78.61
Upside / Downside140.13%151.19%162.65%

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