Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Mavi Giyim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. (MAVI.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$71.42 - $190.57$109.40
Multi-Stage$50.44 - $55.02$52.69
Blended Fair Value$81.05
Current Price$42.30
Upside91.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%43.38%1.500.620.170.040.000.000.040.000.000.00
YoY Growth--143.12%256.60%296.84%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--4.65%1.34%1.34%0.86%0.00%0.00%1.57%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,106.66
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,120.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)985.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)421.33263.33158.00
Cash Retained (M)985.68985.68985.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-421.33-263.33-158.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)564.35722.35827.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)695.20695.20695.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.811.041.19
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.811.041.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.422.652.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$71.42$109.40$190.57
Upside / Downside68.83%158.63%350.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,106.662,243.592,389.422,544.742,710.142,886.302,972.89
Payout Ratio53.21%60.57%67.93%75.28%82.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,120.981,358.921,623.061,915.792,239.722,597.672,749.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,234.091,245.791,257.49
Year 2 PV (M)1,338.571,364.061,389.80
Year 3 PV (M)1,434.851,476.041,518.01
Year 4 PV (M)1,523.371,581.961,642.22
Year 5 PV (M)1,604.541,682.041,762.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,931.7229,280.8330,681.58
Equity Value (M)35,067.1436,630.7238,251.60
Shares Outstanding (M)695.20695.20695.20
Fair Value$50.44$52.69$55.02
Upside / Downside19.25%24.57%30.08%

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