Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

M1 Kliniken AG (M12.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.15 - $78.82$51.83
Multi-Stage$26.65 - $29.08$27.84
Blended Fair Value$39.84
Current Price$15.20
Upside162.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.14%0.00%0.500.110.100.090.010.280.270.240.240.00
YoY Growth--369.98%8.63%10.00%1,189.91%-97.55%6.06%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.03%0.96%1.09%1.19%0.08%1.98%1.83%1.86%2.30%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.904.312.59
Cash Retained (M)23.2123.2123.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.90-4.31-2.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)16.3118.8920.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18.5118.5118.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.021.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.021.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.491.631.72
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.15$51.83$78.82
Upside / Downside137.86%240.98%418.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.5036.7439.1341.6744.3847.2648.68
Payout Ratio32.73%44.18%55.64%67.09%78.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.2916.2321.7727.9634.8642.5445.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)14.6414.7814.92
Year 2 PV (M)17.7018.0418.38
Year 3 PV (M)20.5021.0921.69
Year 4 PV (M)23.0523.9424.85
Year 5 PV (M)25.3726.5927.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)391.91410.84430.49
Equity Value (M)493.17515.27538.19
Shares Outstanding (M)18.5118.5118.51
Fair Value$26.65$27.84$29.08
Upside / Downside75.33%83.19%91.34%

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