Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

MFC-Strategic Storage Fund (M-STOR.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.16 - $6.12$5.10
Multi-Stage$7.89 - $8.64$8.26
Blended Fair Value$6.68
Current Price$7.05
Upside-5.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.98%-5.88%0.450.400.330.370.370.400.570.720.710.73
YoY Growth--11.25%19.55%-8.58%-0.81%-8.53%-28.60%-20.98%0.70%-2.47%-10.78%
Dividend Yield--6.18%5.52%5.53%5.95%6.00%6.56%9.19%11.63%11.54%11.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)32.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)5.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.514.072.44
Cash Retained (M)5.775.775.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.51-4.07-2.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.731.713.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.030.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.16$5.10$6.12
Upside / Downside-41.01%-27.64%-13.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)32.5332.2031.8831.5631.2430.9331.86
Payout Ratio82.25%83.80%85.35%86.90%88.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.7526.9827.2127.4327.6427.8429.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.08%8.08%8.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)24.7124.9725.22
Year 2 PV (M)22.8223.2923.76
Year 3 PV (M)21.0721.7222.39
Year 4 PV (M)19.4420.2521.08
Year 5 PV (M)17.9418.8719.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)373.46392.91413.16
Equity Value (M)479.45502.00525.45
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8060.8060.80
Fair Value$7.89$8.26$8.64
Upside / Downside11.85%17.12%22.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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