DDM Analysis: LPPF.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2,669.61 - $3,910.70	$3,267.68
Multi-Stage	$7,605.29 - $8,376.52	$7,983.21
Blended Fair Value	$5,625.45
Current Price	$1,615.00
Upside	248.32%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-13.51%	-0.18%	200.78	527.03	264.95	113.26	0.00	414.83	593.16	628.30	554.00	378.33
YoY Growth	-	-	-61.90%	98.92%	133.94%	0.00%	-100.00%	-30.06%	-5.59%	13.41%	46.44%	85.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	10.43%	29.69%	5.37%	1.83%	0.00%	31.07%	14.76%	5.74%	4.20%	2.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	806,534.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	668,184.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	138,350.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	161,306.80	100,816.75	60,490.05
Cash Retained (M)	138,350.00	138,350.00	138,350.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-161,306.80	-100,816.75	-60,490.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-22,956.80	37,533.25	77,859.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,250.57	2,250.57	2,250.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-10.20	16.68	34.60
LTM Dividend per Share	296.90	296.90	296.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-10.20	16.68	34.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend	286.70	313.57	331.49
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	-4.12%	-3.12%	-2.12%
Fair Value	$2,669.61	$3,267.68	$3,910.70
Upside / Downside	65.30%	102.33%	142.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	806,534.00	781,393.34	757,036.35	733,438.60	710,576.41	688,426.87	709,079.68
Payout Ratio	82.85%	84.28%	85.71%	87.14%	88.57%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	668,184.00	658,535.51	648,839.29	639,107.69	629,352.34	619,584.18	655,898.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.18%	6.18%	6.18%
Growth Rate	-4.12%	-3.12%	-2.12%
Year 1 PV (M)	613,805.53	620,207.15	626,608.77
Year 2 PV (M)	563,690.01	575,509.21	587,451.04
Year 3 PV (M)	517,522.03	533,883.82	550,586.87
Year 4 PV (M)	475,007.27	495,135.58	515,896.92
Year 5 PV (M)	435,871.35	459,079.79	483,266.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)	14,510,333.73	15,282,952.12	16,088,136.65
Equity Value (M)	17,116,229.93	17,966,767.67	18,851,946.73
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,250.57	2,250.57	2,250.57
Fair Value	$7,605.29	$7,983.21	$8,376.52
Upside / Downside	370.92%	394.32%	418.67%

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PT Matahari Department Store Tbk (LPPF.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener