DDM Analysis: LPF.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.05 - $8.68	$7.34
Multi-Stage	$11.13 - $12.18	$11.64
Blended Fair Value	$9.49
Current Price	$10.70
Upside	-11.30%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.72%	2.30%	0.87	0.80	0.68	0.77	0.90	0.90	0.86	0.86	0.81	0.75
YoY Growth	-	-	8.66%	17.82%	-11.65%	-15.11%	0.46%	4.97%	-0.70%	6.08%	8.83%	8.10%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.94%	6.01%	4.88%	4.86%	4.50%	4.37%	4.54%	5.14%	4.99%	5.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,041.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,705.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)	336.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	408.31	255.19	153.12
Cash Retained (M)	336.32	336.32	336.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-408.31	-255.19	-153.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-71.99	81.12	183.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,337.28	2,337.28	2,337.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	0.03	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.73	0.73	0.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	0.03	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.70	0.76	0.81
WACC / Discount Rate	8.77%	8.77%	8.77%
Growth Rate	-2.49%	-1.49%	-0.49%
Fair Value	$6.05	$7.34	$8.68
Upside / Downside	-43.46%	-31.43%	-18.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,041.56	2,011.08	1,981.05	1,951.47	1,922.33	1,893.62	1,950.43
Payout Ratio	83.53%	84.82%	86.12%	87.41%	88.71%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,705.24	1,705.82	1,706.00	1,705.79	1,705.21	1,704.26	1,804.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.77%	8.77%	8.77%
Growth Rate	-2.49%	-1.49%	-0.49%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,552.37	1,568.30	1,584.22
Year 2 PV (M)	1,412.88	1,442.01	1,471.44
Year 3 PV (M)	1,285.63	1,325.59	1,366.38
Year 4 PV (M)	1,169.59	1,218.31	1,268.54
Year 5 PV (M)	1,063.79	1,119.47	1,177.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)	19,520.81	20,542.55	21,606.63
Equity Value (M)	26,005.07	27,216.23	28,474.66
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,337.28	2,337.28	2,337.28
Fair Value	$11.13	$11.64	$12.18
Upside / Downside	3.98%	8.83%	13.86%

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Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Lotus's Retail Growth Freehold and Leasehold Property Fund (LPF.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener