Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Leon's Furniture Limited (LNF.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.80 - $42.85$34.08
Multi-Stage$37.37 - $40.98$39.14
Blended Fair Value$36.61
Current Price$28.84
Upside26.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.08%5.93%0.730.630.652.480.650.630.560.480.420.41
YoY Growth--15.93%-2.67%-73.72%280.79%3.05%13.49%15.03%15.81%0.65%0.48%
Dividend Yield--3.10%2.82%3.76%11.10%2.83%4.68%3.84%2.88%2.49%2.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)119.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.7621.7313.04
Cash Retained (M)119.24119.24119.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.76-21.73-13.04
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.4897.51106.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)68.6768.6768.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.790.790.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.421.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.022.212.34
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Fair Value$26.80$34.08$42.85
Upside / Downside-7.07%18.16%48.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173.81177.00180.24183.54186.90190.33196.04
Payout Ratio31.40%43.12%54.84%66.56%78.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.5776.3298.84122.16146.31171.30181.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.45%8.45%8.45%
Growth Rate0.83%1.83%2.83%
Year 1 PV (M)69.6870.3771.06
Year 2 PV (M)82.3984.0485.70
Year 3 PV (M)92.9895.7798.62
Year 4 PV (M)101.67105.76109.98
Year 5 PV (M)108.68114.18119.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,110.752,217.512,328.55
Equity Value (M)2,566.152,687.632,813.81
Shares Outstanding (M)68.6768.6768.67
Fair Value$37.37$39.14$40.98
Upside / Downside29.58%35.71%42.08%

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