Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

LH Shopping Centers Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust (LHSC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.93 - $33.08$25.74
Multi-Stage$26.92 - $29.46$28.17
Blended Fair Value$26.95
Current Price$12.20
Upside120.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.54%0.00%0.720.530.240.090.290.600.560.580.670.25
YoY Growth--35.85%121.05%153.33%-67.03%-52.55%6.56%-2.07%-13.95%165.67%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.92%5.32%2.09%0.93%2.50%4.66%3.32%3.90%4.75%1.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,318.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)779.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)539.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)263.76164.8598.91
Cash Retained (M)539.47539.47539.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-263.76-164.85-98.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)275.71374.62440.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)778.06778.06778.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.480.57
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.480.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.361.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Fair Value$19.93$25.74$33.08
Upside / Downside63.35%110.98%171.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,318.811,351.591,385.181,419.621,454.901,491.071,535.80
Payout Ratio59.09%65.28%71.46%77.64%83.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)779.34882.25989.801,102.161,219.481,341.961,420.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.39%8.39%8.39%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Year 1 PV (M)806.01813.96821.90
Year 2 PV (M)826.13842.49859.01
Year 3 PV (M)840.41865.50891.08
Year 4 PV (M)849.51883.50918.49
Year 5 PV (M)854.05896.96941.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)16,771.0117,613.7318,490.00
Equity Value (M)20,947.1321,916.1322,922.06
Shares Outstanding (M)778.06778.06778.06
Fair Value$26.92$28.17$29.46
Upside / Downside120.67%130.88%141.48%

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