Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Krungdhep Sophon Public Company Limited (KWC.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$137.44 - $207.58$170.51
Multi-Stage$189.32 - $206.53$197.76
Blended Fair Value$184.14
Current Price$276.00
Upside-33.28%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.86%6.54%10.3610.009.509.509.509.0018.007.005.505.50
YoY Growth--3.63%5.26%0.00%0.00%5.56%-50.00%157.14%27.27%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.43%3.56%3.70%3.77%3.42%3.20%6.38%2.51%2.71%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)74.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)18.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.6511.666.99
Cash Retained (M)18.3318.3318.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.65-11.66-6.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.326.6811.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.051.111.89
LTM Dividend per Share12.4812.4812.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.051.111.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.4313.6014.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Fair Value$137.44$170.51$207.58
Upside / Downside-50.20%-38.22%-24.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93.2594.9996.7598.55100.39102.25105.32
Payout Ratio80.34%82.27%84.20%86.14%88.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)74.9278.1581.4784.8988.4192.0397.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate0.86%1.86%2.86%
Year 1 PV (M)70.3671.0571.75
Year 2 PV (M)66.0467.3568.68
Year 3 PV (M)61.9563.8165.71
Year 4 PV (M)58.0860.4262.83
Year 5 PV (M)54.4457.1960.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)825.30867.03910.43
Equity Value (M)1,136.161,186.861,239.45
Shares Outstanding (M)6.006.006.00
Fair Value$189.32$197.76$206.53
Upside / Downside-31.41%-28.35%-25.17%

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