Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Klinique Medical Clinic Public Company Limited (KLINIQ.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Personal Products & ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.47 - $110.62$61.36
Multi-Stage$28.61 - $31.16$29.86
Blended Fair Value$45.61
Current Price$27.00
Upside68.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%1.411.060.700.371.370.000.000.140.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%50.78%91.50%-73.26%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.87%2.67%1.71%1.50%5.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)351.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)319.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)70.3143.9426.37
Cash Retained (M)32.5632.5632.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-70.31-43.94-26.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)-37.75-11.396.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)217.91217.91217.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.050.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.461.461.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.17-0.050.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.291.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate8.95%8.95%8.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$39.47$61.36$110.62
Upside / Downside46.17%127.26%309.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)351.56374.41398.75424.67452.27481.67496.12
Payout Ratio90.74%90.59%90.44%90.30%90.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)319.00339.18360.64383.45407.71433.50458.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.95%8.95%8.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)308.39311.32314.24
Year 2 PV (M)298.14303.82309.55
Year 3 PV (M)288.23296.50304.93
Year 4 PV (M)278.64289.36300.38
Year 5 PV (M)269.38282.39295.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,792.565,024.045,264.39
Equity Value (M)6,235.356,507.446,789.40
Shares Outstanding (M)217.91217.91217.91
Fair Value$28.61$29.86$31.16
Upside / Downside5.98%10.60%15.40%

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