Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

InvenTrust Properties Corp. (IVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - RetailSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.91 - $19.46$16.00
Multi-Stage$25.62 - $28.20$26.88
Blended Fair Value$21.44
Current Price$28.62
Upside-25.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.740.710.710.690.680.690.681.261.87
YoY Growth---100.00%3.96%-0.47%2.48%1.81%-1.74%1.57%-45.89%-32.70%-66.62%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.95%3.02%2.31%0.55%0.30%0.55%0.55%1.01%1.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.7114.828.89
Cash Retained (M)83.5983.5983.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.71-14.82-8.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.8868.7774.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)78.1878.1878.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.770.880.96
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.770.880.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.211.331.40
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.91$16.00$19.46
Upside / Downside-54.89%-44.09%-32.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118.56117.37116.20115.04113.89112.75116.13
Payout Ratio29.49%41.59%53.70%65.80%77.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.9748.8262.3975.6988.72101.47107.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.21%7.21%7.21%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)45.0845.5446.00
Year 2 PV (M)53.1954.2955.39
Year 3 PV (M)59.5861.4363.31
Year 4 PV (M)64.4867.1569.91
Year 5 PV (M)68.1071.6575.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,712.601,801.781,894.64
Equity Value (M)2,003.042,101.832,204.58
Shares Outstanding (M)78.1878.1878.18
Fair Value$25.62$26.88$28.20
Upside / Downside-10.48%-6.06%-1.47%

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