Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

I-Tech AB (ITECH.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BiotechnologySector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.65 - $32.10$27.31
Multi-Stage$35.65 - $39.05$37.32
Blended Fair Value$32.31
Current Price$94.60
Upside-65.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.500.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.225.143.08
Cash Retained (M)20.2720.2720.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.22-5.14-3.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.0515.1317.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9411.9411.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.011.271.44
LTM Dividend per Share1.751.751.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.011.271.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.763.013.19
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$22.65$27.31$32.10
Upside / Downside-76.06%-71.13%-66.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.1140.7040.2939.8939.4939.1040.27
Payout Ratio50.69%58.55%66.42%74.28%82.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.8423.8326.7629.6332.4435.1937.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)21.4621.6821.90
Year 2 PV (M)21.7022.1522.60
Year 3 PV (M)21.6422.3122.99
Year 4 PV (M)21.3322.2223.13
Year 5 PV (M)20.8421.9223.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)318.53335.12352.39
Equity Value (M)425.50445.39466.05
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9411.9411.94
Fair Value$35.65$37.32$39.05
Upside / Downside-62.31%-60.55%-58.72%

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