Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Tbk (ISAT.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,270.15 - $28,489.68$10,315.04
Multi-Stage$3,074.72 - $3,357.87$3,213.73
Blended Fair Value$6,764.38
Current Price$1,750.00
Upside286.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%67.0963.9262.01294.530.000.0012.3011.990.000.00
YoY Growth--4.97%3.07%-78.94%0.00%0.00%-100.00%2.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.61%2.31%0.89%5.69%0.00%0.00%0.51%0.25%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,620,064.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,702,398.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,917,666.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)924,012.80577,508.00346,504.80
Cash Retained (M)1,917,666.001,917,666.001,917,666.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-924,012.80-577,508.00-346,504.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)993,653.201,340,158.001,571,161.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32,250.8132,250.8132,250.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share30.8141.5548.72
LTM Dividend per Share83.7983.7983.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share30.8141.5548.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend114.60125.35132.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,270.15$10,315.04$28,489.68
Upside / Downside201.15%489.43%1,527.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,620,064.004,920,368.165,240,192.095,580,804.585,943,556.876,329,888.076,519,784.71
Payout Ratio58.49%64.79%71.10%77.40%83.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,702,398.003,188,109.363,725,545.584,319,378.734,974,669.775,696,899.266,030,800.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.79%7.79%7.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,929,818.772,957,589.562,985,360.36
Year 2 PV (M)3,146,335.083,206,263.933,266,758.14
Year 3 PV (M)3,352,308.083,448,540.803,546,597.78
Year 4 PV (M)3,548,088.473,684,537.943,824,885.68
Year 5 PV (M)3,734,016.823,914,371.234,101,628.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)82,451,497.4886,433,935.6390,568,791.07
Equity Value (M)99,162,064.70103,645,239.10108,294,021.26
Shares Outstanding (M)32,250.8132,250.8132,250.81
Fair Value$3,074.72$3,213.73$3,357.87
Upside / Downside75.70%83.64%91.88%

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