Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

ISA Energía Brasil S.A. (ISAE4.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Independent Power ProducersSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.53 - $54.55$45.09
Multi-Stage$70.71 - $77.72$74.14
Blended Fair Value$59.62
Current Price$24.67
Upside141.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.880.910.154.031.130.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--107.29%511.67%-96.32%255.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.42%3.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,924.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,335.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,588.95
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)584.99365.62219.37
Cash Retained (M)1,588.951,588.951,588.95
(-) Cash Required (M)-584.99-365.62-219.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,003.961,223.331,369.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)658.93658.93658.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.862.08
LTM Dividend per Share2.032.032.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.862.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.553.884.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$36.53$45.09$54.55
Upside / Downside48.06%82.78%121.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,924.932,895.682,866.722,838.052,809.672,781.582,865.02
Payout Ratio45.68%54.54%63.41%72.27%81.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,335.981,579.321,817.662,051.072,279.632,503.422,650.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.53%7.53%7.53%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,453.921,468.751,483.59
Year 2 PV (M)1,540.471,572.071,603.99
Year 3 PV (M)1,600.261,649.751,700.25
Year 4 PV (M)1,637.371,705.231,775.18
Year 5 PV (M)1,655.331,741.531,831.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,702.6140,717.9542,816.38
Equity Value (M)46,589.9748,855.2851,210.67
Shares Outstanding (M)658.93658.93658.93
Fair Value$70.71$74.14$77.72
Upside / Downside186.61%200.54%215.03%

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