Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Intelbras S.A. - Indústria de Telecomunicação Eletrônica Brasileira (INTB3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$52.59 - $287.60$102.02
Multi-Stage$30.18 - $33.00$31.56
Blended Fair Value$66.79
Current Price$11.78
Upside466.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.55%8.03%0.370.530.350.400.070.280.190.160.100.06
YoY Growth---31.03%49.98%-11.94%480.67%-75.23%46.80%16.41%62.93%58.73%-62.62%
Dividend Yield--2.85%2.66%1.64%1.28%0.37%1.54%1.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)472.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)160.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)312.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)94.5559.0935.46
Cash Retained (M)312.11312.11312.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-94.55-59.09-35.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)217.56253.02276.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)326.90326.90326.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.85
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.770.85
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.161.271.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.82%7.82%7.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$52.59$102.02$287.60
Upside / Downside346.42%766.05%2,341.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)472.74503.47536.19571.04608.16647.69667.12
Payout Ratio33.98%45.18%56.39%67.59%78.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)160.63227.48302.34385.98479.21582.92617.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.82%7.82%7.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)209.00210.98212.96
Year 2 PV (M)255.21260.07264.98
Year 3 PV (M)299.34307.93316.69
Year 4 PV (M)341.45354.58368.08
Year 5 PV (M)381.60400.03419.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,379.488,784.219,204.43
Equity Value (M)9,866.0710,317.8010,786.31
Shares Outstanding (M)326.90326.90326.90
Fair Value$30.18$31.56$33.00
Upside / Downside156.20%167.94%180.10%

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