Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Instalco AB (publ) (INSTAL.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.37 - $207.79$135.87
Multi-Stage$25.76 - $28.15$26.93
Blended Fair Value$81.40
Current Price$25.50
Upside219.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.65%0.00%0.670.650.640.530.430.270.200.000.000.00
YoY Growth--4.07%1.78%19.86%22.61%57.53%40.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.18%1.51%1.27%0.75%0.68%1.22%1.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)278.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)182.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)96.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.6034.7520.85
Cash Retained (M)96.0096.0096.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.60-34.75-20.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)40.4061.2575.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)266.08266.08266.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.230.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.680.680.68
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.230.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.840.910.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$51.37$135.87$207.79
Upside / Downside101.45%432.84%714.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)278.00296.07315.31335.81357.64380.88392.31
Payout Ratio65.47%70.37%75.28%80.19%85.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)182.00208.36237.37269.28304.33342.80362.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.22%7.22%7.22%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)192.51194.33196.16
Year 2 PV (M)202.63206.49210.39
Year 3 PV (M)212.38218.48224.69
Year 4 PV (M)221.77230.30239.07
Year 5 PV (M)230.80241.95253.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,794.516,074.396,364.97
Equity Value (M)6,854.617,165.947,488.81
Shares Outstanding (M)266.08266.08266.08
Fair Value$25.76$26.93$28.15
Upside / Downside1.03%5.61%10.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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