Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Ingram Micro Holding Corporation (INGM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.71 - $16.23$13.31
Multi-Stage$20.15 - $22.18$21.14
Blended Fair Value$17.22
Current Price$20.82
Upside-17.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-52.25%0.00%0.030.047.461.831.531.060.780.450.000.13
YoY Growth---40.99%-99.40%307.49%19.57%44.75%36.25%72.57%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.15%0.18%30.33%7.44%6.22%4.30%3.16%1.83%0.00%0.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)289.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)230.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)57.9236.2021.72
Cash Retained (M)230.44230.44230.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-57.92-36.20-21.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)172.52194.24208.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)235.07235.07235.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.730.830.89
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.730.830.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate7.37%7.37%7.37%
Growth Rate-1.68%-0.68%0.32%
Fair Value$10.71$13.31$16.23
Upside / Downside-48.54%-36.08%-22.06%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)289.59287.63285.69283.76281.84279.93288.33
Payout Ratio20.42%34.34%48.25%62.17%76.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.1598.77137.86176.41214.44251.94266.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.37%7.37%7.37%
Growth Rate-1.68%-0.68%0.32%
Year 1 PV (M)91.0791.9992.92
Year 2 PV (M)117.19119.58122.00
Year 3 PV (M)138.26142.52146.87
Year 4 PV (M)154.95161.35167.95
Year 5 PV (M)167.85176.56185.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,066.594,277.644,497.36
Equity Value (M)4,735.914,969.655,212.73
Shares Outstanding (M)235.07235.07235.07
Fair Value$20.15$21.14$22.18
Upside / Downside-3.23%1.54%6.51%

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