DDM Analysis: INDS.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$97.53 - $149.35	$121.73
Multi-Stage	$134.73 - $147.03	$140.77
Blended Fair Value	$131.25
Current Price	$234.00
Upside	-43.91%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.12%	2.98%	10.56	10.56	7.49	8.47	9.82	9.99	9.99	4.92	0.00	5.42
YoY Growth	-	-	0.03%	40.96%	-11.59%	-13.74%	-1.65%	0.00%	103.09%	0.00%	-100.00%	-31.21%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.98%	4.78%	0.37%	0.39%	0.53%	0.76%	4.78%	3.09%	0.00%	1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	68,906.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	56,193.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)	12,713.79

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	13,781.36	8,613.35	5,168.01
Cash Retained (M)	12,713.79	12,713.79	12,713.79
(-) Cash Required (M)	-13,781.36	-8,613.35	-5,168.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1,067.57	4,100.44	7,545.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,562.50	6,562.50	6,562.50
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.16	0.62	1.15
LTM Dividend per Share	8.56	8.56	8.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.16	0.62	1.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	8.40	9.19	9.71
WACC / Discount Rate	9.68%	9.68%	9.68%
Growth Rate	0.98%	1.98%	2.98%
Fair Value	$97.53	$121.73	$149.35
Upside / Downside	-58.32%	-47.98%	-36.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	68,906.81	70,271.84	71,663.91	73,083.56	74,531.33	76,007.78	78,288.01
Payout Ratio	81.55%	83.24%	84.93%	86.62%	88.31%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	56,193.01	58,493.88	60,863.85	63,304.77	65,818.51	68,407.00	72,416.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.68%	9.68%	9.68%
Growth Rate	0.98%	1.98%	2.98%
Year 1 PV (M)	52,809.46	53,332.43	53,855.39
Year 2 PV (M)	49,609.18	50,596.59	51,593.73
Year 3 PV (M)	46,584.39	47,982.09	49,407.48
Year 4 PV (M)	43,727.36	45,485.37	47,295.85
Year 5 PV (M)	41,030.53	43,102.76	45,257.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)	650,435.66	683,285.72	717,449.84
Equity Value (M)	884,196.59	923,784.96	964,860.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,562.50	6,562.50	6,562.50
Fair Value	$134.73	$140.77	$147.03
Upside / Downside	-42.42%	-39.84%	-37.17%

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Financial Statements

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PT Indospring Tbk (INDS.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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