DDM Analysis: INCI.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$758.61 - $1,084.87	$918.55
Multi-Stage	$1,134.52 - $1,244.20	$1,188.31
Blended Fair Value	$1,053.43
Current Price	$620.00
Upside	69.91%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	34.76	0.00	0.00	23.42	18.75	0.00	5.29	0.00	8.66	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	24.92%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.32%	0.00%	0.00%	4.43%	1.86%	0.00%	1.24%	0.00%	2.55%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	22,846.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7,219.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)	15,627.16

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4,569.24	2,855.78	1,713.47
Cash Retained (M)	15,627.16	15,627.16	15,627.16
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4,569.24	-2,855.78	-1,713.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11,057.92	12,771.38	13,913.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	207.66	207.66	207.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share	53.25	61.50	67.00
LTM Dividend per Share	34.76	34.76	34.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share	53.25	61.50	67.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	88.02	96.27	101.77
WACC / Discount Rate	9.90%	9.90%	9.90%
Growth Rate	-1.53%	-0.53%	0.47%
Fair Value	$758.61	$918.55	$1,084.87
Upside / Downside	22.36%	48.15%	74.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	22,846.22	22,725.66	22,605.74	22,486.45	22,367.79	22,249.75	22,917.24
Payout Ratio	31.60%	43.28%	54.96%	66.64%	78.32%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7,219.06	9,835.39	12,423.91	14,984.83	17,518.38	20,024.78	21,198.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.90%	9.90%	9.90%
Growth Rate	-1.53%	-0.53%	0.47%
Year 1 PV (M)	8,859.65	8,949.63	9,039.60
Year 2 PV (M)	10,081.11	10,286.90	10,494.77
Year 3 PV (M)	10,952.85	11,289.94	11,633.87
Year 4 PV (M)	11,534.39	12,010.11	12,500.39
Year 5 PV (M)	11,876.63	12,492.05	13,132.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)	182,286.39	191,732.02	201,565.21
Equity Value (M)	235,591.03	246,760.64	258,366.55
Shares Outstanding (M)	207.66	207.66	207.66
Fair Value	$1,134.52	$1,188.31	$1,244.20
Upside / Downside	82.99%	91.66%	100.68%

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Financial Statements

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PT Intanwijaya Internasional Tbk (INCI.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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