Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Index Living Mall Public Company Limited (ILM-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17.48 - $29.52$22.74
Multi-Stage$66.98 - $73.88$70.36
Blended Fair Value$46.55
Current Price$15.60
Upside198.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-27.08%0.00%1.000.850.600.420.614.870.990.400.540.00
YoY Growth--17.65%41.68%42.84%-31.14%-87.43%390.00%150.00%-25.93%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.22%3.98%2.88%1.79%3.97%60.07%4.51%1.81%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)745.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)505.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)239.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)149.0193.1355.88
Cash Retained (M)239.98239.98239.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-149.01-93.13-55.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)90.97146.85184.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)503.49503.49503.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.290.37
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.290.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.291.37
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$17.48$22.74$29.52
Upside / Downside12.05%45.77%89.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)745.07737.62730.24722.94715.71708.55729.81
Payout Ratio67.79%72.23%76.67%81.12%85.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)505.08532.80559.91586.42612.35637.70675.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)504.04509.19514.33
Year 2 PV (M)501.10511.38521.76
Year 3 PV (M)496.51511.86527.53
Year 4 PV (M)490.48510.80531.76
Year 5 PV (M)483.21508.38534.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,246.8632,873.9634,568.14
Equity Value (M)33,722.2035,425.5737,198.10
Shares Outstanding (M)503.49503.49503.49
Fair Value$66.98$70.36$73.88
Upside / Downside329.34%351.02%373.59%

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