Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Interlink Communication Public Company Limited (ILINK.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.42 - $138.40$129.70
Multi-Stage$18.76 - $20.50$19.61
Blended Fair Value$74.66
Current Price$4.90
Upside1,423.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.47%30.82%0.390.200.380.140.030.180.070.130.160.01
YoY Growth--95.00%-47.37%179.21%353.66%-83.51%164.92%-48.49%-19.48%1,127.96%-49.25%
Dividend Yield--6.99%2.65%5.22%1.48%0.60%8.23%1.44%2.19%1.38%0.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)380.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)228.33
(=) Cash Retained (M)151.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.0347.5228.51
Cash Retained (M)151.85151.85151.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.03-47.52-28.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)75.81104.33123.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)546.29546.29546.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.190.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.190.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43.42$129.70$138.40
Upside / Downside786.03%2,546.98%2,724.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)380.17404.88431.20459.23489.08520.87536.50
Payout Ratio60.06%66.05%72.03%78.02%84.01%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)228.33267.41310.62358.31410.88468.78496.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)247.91250.26252.61
Year 2 PV (M)266.97272.05277.18
Year 3 PV (M)285.50293.69302.05
Year 4 PV (M)303.52315.19327.20
Year 5 PV (M)321.04336.54352.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,820.799,246.849,689.19
Equity Value (M)10,245.7210,714.5811,200.87
Shares Outstanding (M)546.29546.29546.29
Fair Value$18.76$19.61$20.50
Upside / Downside282.76%300.27%318.44%

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