DDM Analysis: IIIN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$48.14 - $124.36	$73.01
Multi-Stage	$34.34 - $37.45	$35.86
Blended Fair Value	$54.44
Current Price	$38.49
Upside	41.43%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	56.57%	25.69%	1.11	2.60	2.11	2.10	1.60	0.12	0.12	1.09	1.33	1.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-57.28%	23.49%	0.22%	31.53%	1,252.96%	0.13%	-89.17%	-17.98%	24.70%	843.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.89%	9.45%	5.51%	7.65%	4.02%	0.53%	0.54%	4.54%	4.70%	2.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	41.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)	19.26

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	8.20	5.13	3.08
Cash Retained (M)	19.26	19.26	19.26
(-) Cash Required (M)	-8.20	-5.13	-3.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	11.06	14.13	16.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	19.56	19.56	19.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.57	0.72	0.83
LTM Dividend per Share	1.11	1.11	1.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.57	0.72	0.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.68	1.84	1.94
WACC / Discount Rate	9.18%	9.18%	9.18%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$48.14	$73.01	$124.36
Upside / Downside	25.08%	89.69%	223.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	41.02	43.69	46.53	49.55	52.77	56.20	57.89
Payout Ratio	53.05%	60.44%	67.83%	75.22%	82.61%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21.76	26.40	31.56	37.27	43.59	50.58	53.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.18%	9.18%	9.18%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	23.96	24.18	24.41
Year 2 PV (M)	25.98	26.48	26.98
Year 3 PV (M)	27.84	28.64	29.46
Year 4 PV (M)	29.55	30.68	31.85
Year 5 PV (M)	31.11	32.61	34.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	533.10	558.84	585.58
Equity Value (M)	671.53	701.44	732.44
Shares Outstanding (M)	19.56	19.56	19.56
Fair Value	$34.34	$35.86	$37.45
Upside / Downside	-10.79%	-6.82%	-2.70%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Insteel Industries, Inc. (IIIN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener