Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

IDT Corporation (IDT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.36 - $25.45$21.92
Multi-Stage$29.46 - $32.45$30.93
Blended Fair Value$26.42
Current Price$50.66
Upside-47.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%-19.34%0.220.100.000.000.000.000.000.550.710.69
YoY Growth--118.85%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-22.00%2.97%-63.53%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.21%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%7.84%5.37%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)75.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.2410.156.09
Cash Retained (M)75.4175.4175.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.24-10.15-6.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.1665.2569.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)25.2625.2625.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.342.582.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.342.582.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.572.812.97
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Fair Value$18.36$21.92$25.45
Upside / Downside-63.75%-56.73%-49.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81.2178.9776.7974.6772.6170.6172.72
Payout Ratio7.15%23.72%40.29%56.86%73.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8018.7330.9442.4653.3263.5567.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.72%9.72%9.72%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Year 1 PV (M)16.8917.0717.24
Year 2 PV (M)25.1725.7026.23
Year 3 PV (M)31.1632.1433.14
Year 4 PV (M)35.3036.7938.33
Year 5 PV (M)37.9539.9642.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)597.79629.50662.54
Equity Value (M)744.27781.16819.54
Shares Outstanding (M)25.2625.2625.26
Fair Value$29.46$30.93$32.45
Upside / Downside-41.84%-38.95%-35.96%

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