Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Investment - Banking & Investment ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$351.25 - $413.83$387.82
Multi-Stage$93.47 - $102.48$97.89
Blended Fair Value$242.86
Current Price$68.81
Upside252.94%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.30%14.87%0.210.100.090.090.070.070.070.060.060.06
YoY Growth--119.05%5.00%5.26%18.75%3.23%6.90%3.57%7.69%4.00%8.70%
Dividend Yield--0.50%0.34%0.44%0.52%0.40%0.65%0.49%0.38%0.68%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)917.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)125.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)792.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)183.40114.6368.78
Cash Retained (M)792.00792.00792.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-183.40-114.63-68.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)608.60677.38723.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)440.68440.68440.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.541.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.821.92
WACC / Discount Rate5.29%5.29%5.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$351.25$387.82$413.83
Upside / Downside410.47%463.62%501.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)917.00976.611,040.081,107.691,179.691,256.371,294.06
Payout Ratio13.63%28.91%44.18%59.45%74.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)125.00282.29459.50658.55881.541,130.731,197.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.29%5.29%5.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)265.58268.09270.61
Year 2 PV (M)406.70414.45422.27
Year 3 PV (M)548.37564.12580.16
Year 4 PV (M)690.60717.16744.47
Year 5 PV (M)833.37873.63915.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,444.5940,301.4742,229.43
Equity Value (M)41,189.2143,138.9145,162.36
Shares Outstanding (M)440.68440.68440.68
Fair Value$93.47$97.89$102.48
Upside / Downside35.83%42.26%48.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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