DDM Analysis: HWKN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$147.13 - $793.04	$288.63
Multi-Stage	$82.64 - $90.42	$86.46
Blended Fair Value	$187.54
Current Price	$176.91
Upside	6.01%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	8.30%	6.41%	0.70	0.64	0.58	0.53	0.48	0.47	0.57	0.44	0.42	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	10.55%	10.31%	8.55%	10.24%	2.08%	-17.95%	30.72%	5.51%	5.16%	5.06%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.49%	0.72%	1.19%	1.47%	1.50%	2.18%	2.64%	2.39%	1.74%	1.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	83.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	15.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)	67.88

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	16.62	10.39	6.23
Cash Retained (M)	67.88	67.88	67.88
(-) Cash Required (M)	-16.62	-10.39	-6.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)	51.26	57.49	61.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	20.84	20.84	20.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.46	2.76	2.96
LTM Dividend per Share	0.73	0.73	0.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.46	2.76	2.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.19	3.49	3.69
WACC / Discount Rate	7.79%	7.79%	7.79%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$147.13	$288.63	$793.04
Upside / Downside	-16.83%	63.15%	348.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	83.12	88.52	94.28	100.41	106.93	113.88	117.30
Payout Ratio	18.33%	32.66%	47.00%	61.33%	75.67%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	15.24	28.92	44.31	61.58	80.91	102.49	108.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.79%	7.79%	7.79%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	26.58	26.83	27.08
Year 2 PV (M)	37.43	38.14	38.86
Year 3 PV (M)	47.80	49.18	50.57
Year 4 PV (M)	57.72	59.94	62.23
Year 5 PV (M)	67.20	70.45	73.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,485.96	1,557.73	1,632.25
Equity Value (M)	1,722.69	1,802.26	1,884.80
Shares Outstanding (M)	20.84	20.84	20.84
Fair Value	$82.64	$86.46	$90.42
Upside / Downside	-53.29%	-51.13%	-48.89%

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Hawkins, Inc. (HWKN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener