Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hansen Technologies Limited (HSN.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.11 - $18.88$10.88
Multi-Stage$5.06 - $5.52$5.28
Blended Fair Value$8.08
Current Price$4.98
Upside62.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.31%8.63%0.090.090.090.110.100.050.060.050.050.04
YoY Growth--2.68%0.00%-17.99%2.24%116.98%-19.96%21.60%-8.66%19.68%15.06%
Dividend Yield--1.79%1.93%1.68%2.03%1.66%1.64%1.50%1.55%1.33%1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)27.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.888.054.83
Cash Retained (M)27.0927.0927.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.88-8.05-4.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.2119.0422.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)212.44212.44212.44
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.270.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.11$10.88$18.88
Upside / Downside42.82%118.43%279.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.3968.5773.0377.7882.8388.2290.86
Payout Ratio57.93%64.34%70.76%77.17%83.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.3044.1251.6760.0269.2479.4084.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)40.0640.4440.82
Year 2 PV (M)42.6143.4244.24
Year 3 PV (M)44.9446.2347.54
Year 4 PV (M)47.0748.8850.74
Year 5 PV (M)49.0151.3753.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)850.96892.06934.74
Equity Value (M)1,074.641,122.401,171.91
Shares Outstanding (M)212.44212.44212.44
Fair Value$5.06$5.28$5.52
Upside / Downside1.58%6.09%10.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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