Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hifab Group AB (publ.) (HIFA-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.12 - $65.21$21.97
Multi-Stage$34.47 - $38.08$36.24
Blended Fair Value$29.10
Current Price$3.46
Upside741.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.120.120.000.000.20
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%5.22%4.80%0.00%0.00%7.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.823.011.81
Cash Retained (M)13.8013.8013.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.82-3.01-1.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.9810.7911.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.8460.8460.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate0.56%0.56%0.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.12$21.97$65.21
Upside / Downside250.36%534.98%1,784.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24.1023.8623.6223.3823.1522.9223.61
Payout Ratio42.74%52.19%61.64%71.10%80.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.3012.4514.5616.6318.6520.6321.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.56%0.56%0.56%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.2612.3812.51
Year 2 PV (M)14.1114.4014.69
Year 3 PV (M)15.8616.3516.85
Year 4 PV (M)17.5118.2318.98
Year 5 PV (M)19.0620.0621.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,018.182,123.272,232.69
Equity Value (M)2,096.982,204.692,316.81
Shares Outstanding (M)60.8460.8460.84
Fair Value$34.47$36.24$38.08
Upside / Downside896.18%947.35%1,000.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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