Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SpareBank 1 Helgeland (HELG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,194.10 - $3,763.19$3,526.66
Multi-Stage$739.42 - $809.69$773.91
Blended Fair Value$2,150.28
Current Price$181.90
Upside1,082.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS61.36%24.30%12.5811.473.762.271.951.152.892.721.811.67
YoY Growth--9.73%204.63%66.15%16.07%69.70%-60.24%6.41%50.00%8.33%17.07%
Dividend Yield--7.89%8.89%2.96%1.69%1.84%1.77%3.99%3.22%2.27%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)542.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)279.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)263.85
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)108.5767.8640.71
Cash Retained (M)263.85263.85263.85
(-) Cash Required (M)-108.57-67.86-40.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.28195.99223.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.6928.6928.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.416.837.78
LTM Dividend per Share9.739.739.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.416.837.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.1416.5617.50
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,194.10$3,526.66$3,763.19
Upside / Downside1,655.96%1,838.79%1,968.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)542.85578.14615.71655.74698.36743.75766.06
Payout Ratio51.40%59.12%66.84%74.56%82.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)279.00341.77411.53488.90574.60669.38708.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.67%5.67%5.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)320.39323.43326.46
Year 2 PV (M)361.65368.53375.49
Year 3 PV (M)402.77414.33426.11
Year 4 PV (M)443.75460.82478.37
Year 5 PV (M)484.60508.01532.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,199.5920,126.9321,089.77
Equity Value (M)21,212.7422,202.0523,228.51
Shares Outstanding (M)28.6928.6928.69
Fair Value$739.42$773.91$809.69
Upside / Downside306.50%325.46%345.13%

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