DDM Analysis: HDN.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.07 - $1.61	$1.33
Multi-Stage	$2.17 - $2.38	$2.27
Blended Fair Value	$1.80
Current Price	$1.25
Upside	43.92%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	2.12%	0.49%	105.49%	413.46%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.20%	5.35%	5.37%	2.41%	0.45%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	332.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	209.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	123.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	66.46	41.54	24.92
Cash Retained (M)	123.10	123.10	123.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-66.46	-41.54	-24.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)	56.64	81.56	98.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,599.24	2,599.24	2,599.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.08	0.08	0.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.10	0.11	0.12
WACC / Discount Rate	7.34%	7.34%	7.34%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$1.07	$1.33	$1.61
Upside / Downside	-14.13%	6.26%	28.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	332.30	328.98	325.69	322.43	319.21	316.01	325.49
Payout Ratio	62.96%	68.36%	73.77%	79.18%	84.59%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	209.20	224.90	240.27	255.31	270.02	284.41	301.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.34%	7.34%	7.34%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	207.41	209.53	211.64
Year 2 PV (M)	204.35	208.54	212.78
Year 3 PV (M)	200.25	206.45	212.77
Year 4 PV (M)	195.32	203.42	211.76
Year 5 PV (M)	189.73	199.61	209.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,630.57	4,871.69	5,122.76
Equity Value (M)	5,627.64	5,899.24	6,181.61
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,599.24	2,599.24	2,599.24
Fair Value	$2.17	$2.27	$2.38
Upside / Downside	73.21%	81.57%	90.26%

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HBEL.BO	Humming Bird Education Limited	1.26%	$0.30	36.54%
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OEM-B.ST	OEM International AB (publ)	1.26%	$1.74	40.26%
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204320.KS	Mando Corporation	1.25%	$820.37	29.46%
3684.TWO	Grand-Tek Technology Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.80	29.94%
5819.KL	Hong Leong Bank Berhad	1.25%	$0.28	13.43%
600633.SS	Zhejiang Daily Digital Culture Group Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.16	35.54%
600850.SS	CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd.	1.25%	$0.37	49.83%
603329.SS	Shanghai Ace Investment & Development Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$0.14	79.14%
603920.SS	Olympic Circuit Technology Co., Ltd	1.25%	$0.61	53.40%
6632.T	JVCKENWOOD Corporation	1.25%	$15.03	12.26%
9717.T	JASTEC Co., Ltd.	1.25%	$24.25	22.00%
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HomeCo Daily Needs REIT (HDN.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener