Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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GSR II Meteora Acquisition Corp. (GSRM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Shell CompaniesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.82 - $24.44$17.50
Multi-Stage$65.44 - $72.31$68.81
Blended Fair Value$43.15
Current Price$3.23
Upside1,236.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)20.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.143.842.30
Cash Retained (M)20.6020.6020.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.14-3.84-2.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.4616.7618.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.7835.7835.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.400.470.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.400.470.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.690.750.79
WACC / Discount Rate3.25%3.25%3.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.82$17.50$24.44
Upside / Downside296.99%441.87%656.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30.7230.4130.1129.8029.5129.2130.09
Payout Ratio32.94%44.35%55.76%67.17%78.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.1213.4916.7920.0223.1926.2927.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.25%3.25%3.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12.9313.0613.19
Year 2 PV (M)15.4315.7516.07
Year 3 PV (M)17.6418.1918.75
Year 4 PV (M)19.5920.4021.24
Year 5 PV (M)21.3022.4123.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,254.512,371.912,494.15
Equity Value (M)2,341.412,461.722,586.96
Shares Outstanding (M)35.7835.7835.78
Fair Value$65.44$68.81$72.31
Upside / Downside1,926.12%2,030.24%2,138.61%

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