Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$114.22 - $248.90$163.72
Multi-Stage$120.80 - $132.39$126.49
Blended Fair Value$145.10
Current Price$61.25
Upside136.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.43%5.21%1.621.671.661.632.892.521.371.121.061.06
YoY Growth---2.98%0.53%2.03%-43.76%15.06%83.65%22.68%5.41%-0.47%9.18%
Dividend Yield--2.93%3.16%3.28%2.76%5.11%6.23%2.57%2.24%2.10%2.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)69.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.928.705.22
Cash Retained (M)51.0751.0751.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.92-8.70-5.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.1542.3745.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5511.5511.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.223.673.97
LTM Dividend per Share1.611.611.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.223.673.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.825.285.58
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Fair Value$114.22$163.72$248.90
Upside / Downside86.48%167.30%306.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)69.6272.5075.5178.6481.8985.2987.85
Payout Ratio26.64%39.31%51.99%64.66%77.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.5528.5039.2550.8463.3376.7681.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Year 1 PV (M)26.2626.5226.77
Year 2 PV (M)33.3233.9734.62
Year 3 PV (M)39.7640.9342.12
Year 4 PV (M)45.6347.4249.27
Year 5 PV (M)50.9553.4756.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,198.901,258.161,319.73
Equity Value (M)1,394.821,460.461,528.60
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5511.5511.55
Fair Value$120.80$126.49$132.39
Upside / Downside97.23%106.51%116.15%

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