Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gulf International Services Q.P.S.C. (GISS.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9.60 - $28.48$15.17
Multi-Stage$7.48 - $8.18$7.83
Blended Fair Value$11.50
Current Price$3.15
Upside265.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS103.56%-0.64%0.150.100.000.010.000.000.000.100.100.52
YoY Growth--50.00%10,167.46%-92.70%663.35%-59.25%-10.20%-95.34%0.51%-80.53%227.80%
Dividend Yield--4.89%3.69%0.05%0.68%0.12%0.44%0.30%5.26%3.61%14.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)706.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)319.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)387.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)141.3188.3252.99
Cash Retained (M)387.01387.01387.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-141.31-88.32-52.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)245.70298.70334.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,858.411,858.411,858.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Fair Value$9.60$15.17$28.48
Upside / Downside204.65%381.60%804.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)706.55746.45788.60833.13880.18929.88957.78
Payout Ratio45.22%54.18%63.13%72.09%81.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)319.53404.42497.88600.60713.34836.89885.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Year 1 PV (M)371.04374.59378.14
Year 2 PV (M)419.09427.14435.26
Year 3 PV (M)463.83477.26490.94
Year 4 PV (M)505.43525.03545.19
Year 5 PV (M)544.04570.53598.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,602.6012,167.6712,754.54
Equity Value (M)13,906.0414,542.2215,202.12
Shares Outstanding (M)1,858.411,858.411,858.41
Fair Value$7.48$7.83$8.18
Upside / Downside137.55%148.42%159.69%

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